Securitization 10 Years On
The securitization market has been to the brink and back. From the depths of the financial crisis, the market faced huge obstacles before it was able to stage its impressive comeback in the last five years. Max Adams charts some of the highs and lows for the market in the decade since Lehman Brothers’ collapse and the financial crisis.
Securitization markets involve some of the most esoteric, obscure parts of investment banking. Traders and bankers rarely court publicity, while deals are placed to a specialist subset of the fixed income buy-side. Yet, 10 years after the financial crisis, securitization affects almost every part the real economy.
Synthetic risk transfer markets have had another good year, with the core group of banks active in the market returning to issue, smaller firms mulling the market, and investors raising new cash to buy deals. But perhaps most exciting is the development of a whole new issuer base, in the shape of multilateral development banks, following the landmark ‘Room2Run’ deal between the African Development Bank and Mariner Investment Group.
The European Union’s new securitization regulations come into effect on January 1, a year after publication. Market participants hope they will help spark an industry revival, 10 years on from the global financial crisis. But lingering concerns could stall issuance of European ABS as 2019 gets under way.
Consumer spending habits have changed beyond recognition since the financial crisis 10 years ago. US households are more wary of debt and are turning away from many of the traditional avenues of spending that have driven ABS markets for decades. While the market has come back since the depths of the crisis, securitization in 2019 is a different beast.
Once a big portion of global structured finance, non-agency RMBS has been a small part of the MBS market since 2008, in spite of a housing recovery in the US. Alexander Saeedy examines the outlook for a comeback of private label bonds in 2019.
Against a backdrop of rising Libor rates, deteriorating loan covenants and strong corporate earnings, CLO participants in 2018 had to digest a host of mixed signals from the market. Investors and managers are cautiously eyeing a continued bull run as the sector comes to a late-cycle crossroads in 2019.
It has been more than a decade since the US government nationalized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored enterprises at the heart of US housing finance. Private sector advocates have hotly contested their conservatorship — without results — but 2019 be the year that that changes.
Publisher: Oliver Hawkins
Telephone: +44(0)20 7779 7304
Deputy Publisher: James Andrews
Telephone: +44 (0)20 7779 8074
Associate Publisher: Daniel Elton
Telephone: +44 (0)20 7779 7305
US Publisher: Kevin Dougherty
Telephone: +1 212 224 3445