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LevFin

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Deal rules and slow primary market make ramping up deals difficult
◆ Supranationals and agencies prepare to achieve the previously unthinkable ◆ Leveraged loans versus private credit and their effect on CLOs ◆ A new dawn for dollar covered bonds and UK equity market structure
◆ Schaeffler attracts €5.8bn peak book… ◆ …while SPIE finds €2.8bn of orders ◆ Strong demand allows for strong price moves
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  • US CLO issuance has almost entirely tapered off in the final weeks of the year, but a select few deals are crawling through the pipeline even while spreads are near recorded highs for 2018.
  • Telecoms firm Lebara is seeking further changes in its bond terms, including waivers on leverage covenants and a shorter maturity date, after it finally released group financial results which have been delayed since February.
  • The leveraged finance market has been the best business for capital markets banks this year — but rising debt levels, weakened investor protections and the rapidly growing volumes have brought regulatory attention. Some banks are pulling back from the most aggressive deals, but others are taking their place, and a burgeoning non-bank lending sector is keeping the market white hot regardless.
  • Sustainability is conquering finance — to judge by what the industry likes to talk about. Outside the window, the real economy continues much as before. Is all the noise about green finance actually shifting capital in the right direction — or is it just making people feel better?
  • SSA
    London has peaked as Europe’s capital markets hub. But how much of the business it will lose is still to play for. Bankers’ faith that only some functions need go looks misplaced. The stage is set for a drawn-out poker game between banks wanting to stay in London and continental regulators who hold a strong hand.
  • Pain from Brexit, higher interest rates, quantitative easing ending and political strains in the EU will all lead to more volatility in 2019, according to 22 heads of debt capital markets in the EMEA market, including 18 of the top 20, in Toby Fildes’ annual outlook survey. And that’s before Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Mohammed bin Salman get going. There is some good news, however: financial institutions are set to be big issuers, and the DCM heads expect to be net hirers...
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