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◆ 'Reassuring' result as Danish lender becomes more frequent issuer ◆ Strong bid from international accounts ◆ Minimal NIP
◆ Shorter tranche tightened more than longer ◆ Largest single euro covered tranche since 2024 ◆ Banker said longer end paid more premium
◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
Data
Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
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Agreement in the EU this week on a €750bn recovery fund should remind market participants of the UK’s newfound vulnerability. -
Reform of the US government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) has always been considered a necessary precursor to establishing a US covered bond legal framework. But with the Covid-19 crisis and November’s presidential elections diverting attention, dollar covered bond issuance will remain dominated by foreign banks, with near term supply prospects likely to be determined by the cross-currency basis swap.
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Reports that the European Central Bank (ECB) could ask banks to suspend dividend payments until the end of 2020 sent subordinated debt higher and stocks lower this week.
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Smaller loan loss provisions and high capital ratios have helped Nordic lenders to kick off European bank earnings season in a positive fashion. But analysts are cautious about drawing any conclusions for the rest of the sector.
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Negative yielding covered bonds, which are trading close to their tightest-ever spread levels, could become less attractive to bank investors relative to European Central Bank (ECB) deposits, which may soon become more generously tiered, and government bonds, where an increase in supply is likely, said bankers on Wednesday.
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