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Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
The conditions are in place for the return of big-ticket M&A to create a European banking champion that is sorely needed — provided the politics of it don’t get in the way
Data
Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
The single currency stands out as the most attractive funding source while the US dollar market remains open in size
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Deal arrangers expect bank bond supply will peter out after a flurry of deals this week. Issuers have been enjoying fantastic conditions, but most of them have finished their funding plans early so they can lay low throughout a much-feared fourth quarter. Tyler Davies and Bill Thornhill report. -
Policymakers should be careful about rushing into action over signs that bank profitability is collapsing.
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Argenta Spaarbank, Belfius Bank and Jyske Bank took differing approaches to sell €500m no-grow senior bonds this week — Argenta offered a substantial new issue premium, while the latter pair pushed their pricing close to fair value.
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Despite robust redemption volumes, the outlook for covered bond supply over the remainder of 2020 is poor with some bankers expecting no more than a dozen euro deals.
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Raiffeisen Schweiz surpassed expectations with a self-led additional tier one (AT1) deal on Wednesday, printing Sfr525m ($572.4m) after finding strong international demand.
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