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Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
The conditions are in place for the return of big-ticket M&A to create a European banking champion that is sorely needed — provided the politics of it don’t get in the way
Data
Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
The single currency stands out as the most attractive funding source while the US dollar market remains open in size
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The technical outlook for covered bonds had always been supportive, but after it emerged that newly mandated EU bonds were trading sharply higher in the grey market on Monday, traders were even more confident, especially for deals in the ultra-long end of the curve, such as CFF’s transaction issued on Monday. -
Compagnie de Financement Foncier (CFF) was able to raise €500m of 15 year funding flat to its curve on Monday. But, in anticipation of the EU's 10 and 20 year dual tranche mandate, announced the same morning, investors of the first negative yielding 15 year covered bond showed a degree of price sensitivity.
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Luxembourg's Quintet Private Bank tapped the market for €125m of additional tier one (AT1) paper on Friday, marking its debut in the asset class.
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Italian insurer UnipolSai Assicurazioni will be hoping to launch its first restricted tier one (RT1) bond this week, after which it could retire a pair of its lower quality tier two instruments.
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La Banque Postale (LBP) printed €500m of January 2031 non-call January 2026 tier two paper this week, its first in the format in over three years.
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The UK government has said that banks will still be able to make investor distributions if they fall below their minimum requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) after Brexit — in an early of sign of divergence from the EU rulebook.
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