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Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
The conditions are in place for the return of big-ticket M&A to create a European banking champion that is sorely needed — provided the politics of it don’t get in the way
Data
Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
The single currency stands out as the most attractive funding source while the US dollar market remains open in size
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Muenchener Hypothekenbank has mandated leads for a rare 20 year covered bond benchmark, the first from a German issuer this year and only the third from the whole market. Rates have collapsed rendering the recently popular 15 year tenor less attractive. -
Investors are sanguine about the fact that covered bonds pledged for repo with central banks hit a new record this year. Although issuers acknowledge the need to appear regularly with benchmarks in the public market, some have scaled back, but this is likely to prove temporary.
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As Europe moves into a second wave of coronavirus cases, banks could soon return to the market with more Covid-themed bond issuance. However, issuers that do choose to tap the market may find themselves competing with the European Union.
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Ronald Hinterkircher, who is retiring from the Swiss franc bond market after a 40 year career, has told GlobalCapital that digitalisation and the possible removal of the withholding tax for foreign investors could change the market over the next few years. But with the European Central Bank propping up the euro bond market, arbitrage opportunities for international companies in Swiss francs are vanishingly slim.
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Additional tier one supply has already surpassed expectations in 2020, with the asset class on course for its second busiest year of all time.
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This week in Keeping Tabs: how the European Central Bank could decarbonise its corporate bond book, how digital banks would suffer if the Bank of England goes negative, and what UK financial services policy could look like after Brexit.
Polls and awards
Cast your vote now to decide this year's covered bond award winners and express your views in our new market survey
Bond market's leading performers recognised at GlobalCapital's annual awards ceremony
The awards recognise the market's leading deals, issuers, banks and other participants
The winning institutions and individuals will be revealed at the awards dinner on June 17 in London
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