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Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
The conditions are in place for the return of big-ticket M&A to create a European banking champion that is sorely needed — provided the politics of it don’t get in the way
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Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
The single currency stands out as the most attractive funding source while the US dollar market remains open in size
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Singapore could prove to be a rich seam of covered bond issuance next year, with bankers suggesting analysts’ expectations are far too pessimistic. Conversely, Australian issuance may prove to be disappointing. Meanwhile, potential new legal developments in Japan and Malaysia will provide a key focus of attention. -
Covered bond supply from the Netherlands is expected to lead the Benelux region next year, where a total combined issuance of €9bn is due to surfac,e based on the average of six forecasts.
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Covered bond issuance from France is likely to be the highest from any country next year, reflecting the sheer size of the market, high redemptions and banks' propensity to use covered bonds for market funding rather than for repo funding at the central bank.
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Investor demand for higher yielding covered bonds from Central and Eastern Europe will likely outpace relatively moderate supply by a considerable amount. And with a wide range of debut issuers in a considerable number of new jurisdictions expected to surface, the outlook is very promising.
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Canadian issuers are expected to concentrate on building their regulatory buffers in 2021 mainly with dollar senior issuance with bankers suggesting that analysts’ covered bond supply forecasts for next year, which are considerably above €10bn, are overly optimistic.
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After a remarkable year, GlobalCapital reflects on some of the most important stories in the bank finance and covered bond markets of 2020.
Polls and awards
Cast your vote now to decide this year's covered bond award winners and express your views in our new market survey
Bond market's leading performers recognised at GlobalCapital's annual awards ceremony
The awards recognise the market's leading deals, issuers, banks and other participants
The winning institutions and individuals will be revealed at the awards dinner on June 17 in London
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