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Contrasting investor receptions in euro and sterling markets but new issue premiums rise in both
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
The conditions are in place for the return of big-ticket M&A to create a European banking champion that is sorely needed — provided the politics of it don’t get in the way

Data

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Observers blame slower bookbuilding on deal-specific factors but others see warning shots for whole market
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Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
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Capital deals and a tight Nordic senior print point to what lies ahead for issuers
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The single currency stands out as the most attractive funding source while the US dollar market remains open in size
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  • Royal Bank of Canada issued a tightly priced €1.25bn 10 year covered bond on Tuesday. While it only attracted just enough demand for it, the long tenor, investor diversification, cost of funding and deal size were positives for the borrower.
  • Korea’s KEB Hana Bank attracted a €2bn order book for its €500m debut covered bond on Tuesday, boosting hopes for an improvement in the secondary market performance of similar deals from South Korea that offer outsized spread pickups.
  • Fitch has upgraded the Co-operative Bank's ratings by one notch to a single B, following the issuance of £200m worth of senior debt for the minimum requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) last November.
  • Even though technical factors are highly supportive for covered bonds, traders say they are unwilling to lift offers, reflecting increased anxiety about limited performance potential and an underlying concern that credit market sentiment is less sure-footed that at the start of this year.
  • Credit Suisse issued a two-part covered bond in Swiss francs on Monday, choosing to limit the deal sizes in order to ensure a tight spread and low yield.
  • BPCE found good demand for a two-part covered bond on Monday with the bonds pricing almost flat to its curve. Even so, the near term outlook has become less certain as German lockdowns are expected to be tightened amid renewed concern over the impact on commercial mortgages secured in some Pfandbrief.
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