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Emerging Markets

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◆ The Fed's Powell era ends with split decision ◆ Bank capital to lead Gulf bond revival ◆ SSAs, corporates and FIG face busy May
Lower rates will need lower inflation — and an FOMC consensus
Gulf AT1 deluge will be a challenge, with or without drone strikes

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  • The Argentina turnaround story under former president Mauricio Macri turned out to be a castle built on sand. But slick execution of the country’s two year bond market fairytale between 2016 and 2018 can provide the new government with some guidance in dealing with investors now it is staring down the barrel of default.
  • Zhongsheng Group Holdings is issuing a HK$3.88bn ($500m) zero-coupon convertible bond to fund the repurchase of an outstanding CB.
  • Turkey has stood out among emerging market countries for its rapid-fire approach to monetary policy, as it attempts to turbo-charge growth amid the coronavirus pandemic. But with sustained downward pressure on the lira, few foreign investors are willing to buy in. The crisis is also causing a hedging conundrum.
  • Saudi Aramco has closed a $10bn loan, according to bankers near the deal. The loan — the largest signed in the Middle East so far this year — comes amid a drop in oil prices, which has sent borrowers in the Gulf hunting for financing.
  • India is facing yet another upheaval as the Covid-19 pandemic makes its way through the country. Capital markets activity has all but come to a halt. There are few bright spots, but bankers are focusing on innovation and thinking long term. By Rashmi Kumar
  • China has made great strides in attracting foreign capital by relaxing stringent rules around access to its markets. But it needs to go further, with experts saying reform should be brought to the top of the agenda once the dust from the Covid-19 outbreak settles. Addison Gong reports.