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The first half of the year was an eventful and volatile one in the government bond market, and the second half threatens more uncertainty. Sovereign issuers are dealing with steeper curves as investors demand higher term premia. Meanwhile, deficit dynamics are shifting, especially as some countries face up to higher defence and infrastructure spending. GlobalCapital gathered senior funding officials from the EU, Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal in June in London to discuss how their funding plans had fared so far, how they are developing their investor bases and how they plan to tackle the uncertainties that lie ahead.
Sentiment towards affected major banks improves but major ratings agency judges overall situation credit negative
High emitters' bonds to be assigned lower value as collateral
Measuring climate risk for repo haircuts will have no direct effect, but sends a message
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Investors would be wise to protect themselves against tail risks -
Government ought to clarify or scrap it
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The government has had no problem raising money in capital markets since October 2023
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Promoters expect new MDB to get go-ahead this year
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Arrival of head of new CIB will further spur NatWest Markets as broader bank looks to growth
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However, reforms could still take two-three years to come to fruition
