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Meanwhile, Gulf borrowers head private as Iran war volatility keeps public flow thin
◆ Gulf issuers turn to private markets ◆ Public sector and corporate borrowers to bring forward plans ◆ Banks re-enter covered and unsecured funding markets
Easter holidays and Middle East volatility subdued regular private placement activity though Gulf states step up private funding
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JP Morgan, the leading SSA bookrunner over the last five years, is clinging onto pole position for 2020, despite a mighty effort from Citi, which has topped the rankings since the Covid-19 pandemic began disrupting markets in earnest. But it is a far different picture in SSA MTNs with Scandinavians surging to the top, thanks to a growth in niche currency supply.
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The pain that negative rates in dollars could cause money market funds hangs like an albatross around the US Federal Reserve’s neck. Talk of them has picked up over the last week as US Federal Funds Futures prices started to imply they were on their way, while president Donald Trump pushed the topic on Twitter, even though and Fed chair Jerome Powell appeared to rule them out.
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The Norges Bank surprised the market with an unexpected base rate cut to a record low of zero on Thursday. Since the start of the year, coronavirus volatility and wildly gyrating oil prices have buffeted the value of the kroner.
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Since the start of the Covid-19 crisis, Finland has found a novel way to meet its increased funding needs: private placements. Over the last six weeks, the sovereign has supplemented its regular auctions with €5.65bn of privately placed trades, issuing private debt off its benchmark bond programme for the first time ever.
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The European Central Bank’s press conference on Thursday did not provide the headline fireworks that its last meeting did. The sombre tone caused “disappointment” among investors and a slight widening of peripheral spreads. SSA issuers were also left dissatisfied with the bank’s lack of support for the money markets.
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The German state of North Rhine-Westphalia made its first visit to the offshore renminbi market earlier this week, continuing this year’s SSA dim sum shopping spree.