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Emerging Markets

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◆ The Fed's Powell era ends with split decision ◆ Bank capital to lead Gulf bond revival ◆ SSAs, corporates and FIG face busy May
Lower rates will need lower inflation — and an FOMC consensus
Gulf AT1 deluge will be a challenge, with or without drone strikes

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  • Taiwan-based Chailese Finance Co is seeking a new loan of $50m through its Vietnamese subsidiary. The deal comes about a month after the leasing and financing company launched another transaction through its Singapore entity.
  • The Central American Bank for Economic Integration (Cabei) raised $530m-equivalent of debt in Taiwan and Switzerland this week to complete the bulk of its bond financing for the year, leaving the lender to focus on bilateral funding and further investor relations for the rest of the year.
  • While leading economists fret about a reckoning to come for emerging market debt in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, for vast swathes of EM issuers bond market business is brisk. Despite dire data and forecasts, dollar funding costs for some sovereigns are nearing pre-crisis levels as investors grasp at any sort of yield. The rally may have further to run, write Ross Lancaster and Oliver West.
  • Financial market participants have watched in disbelief this week as asset prices have kept rising, while US cities burn, unemployment breaks records, a global depression becomes more likely and the coronavirus pandemic still rages.
  • Bondholders in the now infamous EA Partners notes received more bad news this week when Air Serbia, one of the lenders from the special purpose vehicles (SPVs) warned that it could default on its obligations.
  • Programmes to cut the debts owed to official and private creditors would deliver much-needed financial assistance to emerging markets hit by the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a report by leading economists.