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EM Middle East

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Oil giant's bonds were priced no more than 15bp over the sovereign's curve
The Gulf kingdom is trying to tackle a very wide deficit and sky-high debt to GDP
Saudi government-related bond issuance is 20% up year-on-year
The bank has a business model different to other Gulf issuers
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  • Equity market participants were stunned last Friday after the US assassinated Iranian general Qasem Soleimani. It followed what had been a strong end to 2019 in the market with many hopeful the momentum would carry into this year. But banks and investors need to be prepared for shocks, especially as domestic pressure on US president Donald Trump increases in the run up to November's election.
  • Robert "Bob" Fernandez, a veteran of EM debt capital markets, has joined Saudi Aramco's treasury.
  • Bahrain Mumtalakat, the country's sovereign wealth fund, is embarking on a roadshow with plans to print a seven year dollar sukuk. A syndicate official away from the deal called the move “courageous” given the political volatility in the Middle East.
  • Many investors made their first trades of the new year on Monday selling risk positions. That has thrown into doubt issuers' plans to bring new business to the primary market.
  • The State of Israel was first out of the blocks for emerging markets bonds on Monday, as it announced a dual tranche dollar offering despite market participants' continued caution after the US assassination of Qassem Soleimani.
  • A weekend of hostile rhetoric between Iran and the US has caused equity capital markets bankers to consider delaying new deals from the Middle East despite a healthy issuance pipeline, over fears that the two countries are gearing up for war.