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  • Ukraine’s GDP warrants are trading around a cash price of 85. That is way below JP Morgan's view that fair value is closer to 135. No matter the new, surprisingly positive GDP growth forecasts and enthusiasm for the country’s new leadership, from the trading numbers it seems clear that investors do not believe they will get their money from Ukraine.
  • Russia's largest producer of anthracite coal, Siberian Anthracite, is expected to complete a loan refinancing in September. The deal will see Sibanthracite switch its existing loan facility from dollars to euros, as bankers offer a number of reasons for the switch, including preventative protection from sanctions and the elimination of operational delays.
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    Investors’ fears were realised on Thursday when the Turkish central bank lowered its key policy rate by 425bp. Analysts joined them in saying that the move will provoke a return of inflation, damage the lira and complicate loan pricing.
  • CEE
    Ukraine’s government bonds rallied ferociously this week after a decisive victory for president Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People party in Sunday’s parliamentary elections. As the end of the week approached, investors started to question how much further the buying could run and what the fate of the country’s GDP warrants will be.
  • CEE
    Investors’ fears were confirmed on Thursday when the Turkish central bank lowered its key policy rate by 425bp. Analysts joined them in saying that the move will provoke a return of inflation and damage the lira.
  • CEE
    Turkey’s bonds have put up an incredible display of resilience to geopolitical shocks so far, but investors fear that an aggressive cut to the main policy rate will cause inflation to return and puncture confidence in the country’s economy.