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Two top covered analysts have said Luminor covered bonds will continue to be issued under Estonian law if the deal completes
◆ Strong local demand shows eagerness to buy Aussie covereds at new, tighter levels ◆ RBC prices in line with CIBC's reopener of dormant sector ◆ Onshore demand seen supporting issuance up to five years
◆ RBC to follow compatriot CIBC with five year public deal ◆ Earlier trade 'corrected' scarce supply, achieving high oversubscription ◆ Both banks appear ahead of expected local regulatory changes to covered bond treatment

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Deal reviews
◆ Strong local demand shows eagerness to buy Aussie covereds at new, tighter levels ◆ RBC prices in line with CIBC's reopener of dormant sector ◆ Onshore demand seen supporting issuance up to five years
◆ RBC to follow compatriot CIBC with five year public deal ◆ Earlier trade 'corrected' scarce supply, achieving high oversubscription ◆ Both banks appear ahead of expected local regulatory changes to covered bond treatment
◆ Second public sterling covered bond secured against BTL mortgages ◆ Spread gap compressed versus prime covered bond peers ◆ Small premium paid
British bank picks four leads to run its second public sterling BTL mortgage covered bond
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
Benchmark issuance is running 13% ahead of last year
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  • The covered bond market is set to experience one of the steepest declines in issuance on record this January. Yet, despite a poor start, bankers still expect a resurgence in the primary market, although extended lockdown restrictions are creating uncertainty.
  • The Spanish government’s decision to extend laws that prohibit tenant evictions is a blow for the credit strength of the country's covered bond and mortgage securitizations. But even so, supply scarcity will continue to have more influence on Cédulas valuations and spreads, which have already tightened this year and may well have further to go.
  • A double-digit spread over mid-swaps is still possible in covered bonds from Poland, Slovakia and Dutch conditional pass-though deals, suggesting scope for performance is strongest in these markets, said bankers on Wednesday.