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Two top covered analysts have said Luminor covered bonds will continue to be issued under Estonian law if the deal completes
◆ Strong local demand shows eagerness to buy Aussie covereds at new, tighter levels ◆ RBC prices in line with CIBC's reopener of dormant sector ◆ Onshore demand seen supporting issuance up to five years
◆ RBC to follow compatriot CIBC with five year public deal ◆ Earlier trade 'corrected' scarce supply, achieving high oversubscription ◆ Both banks appear ahead of expected local regulatory changes to covered bond treatment
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Deal reviews
◆ Strong local demand shows eagerness to buy Aussie covereds at new, tighter levels ◆ RBC prices in line with CIBC's reopener of dormant sector ◆ Onshore demand seen supporting issuance up to five years
◆ RBC to follow compatriot CIBC with five year public deal ◆ Earlier trade 'corrected' scarce supply, achieving high oversubscription ◆ Both banks appear ahead of expected local regulatory changes to covered bond treatment
◆ Second public sterling covered bond secured against BTL mortgages ◆ Spread gap compressed versus prime covered bond peers ◆ Small premium paid
British bank picks four leads to run its second public sterling BTL mortgage covered bond
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
Benchmark issuance is running 13% ahead of last year
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More from covered bonds
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The lack of covered bond issuance this year and further European Central Bank buying has depleted dealer trading inventories, causing a short squeeze in bonds eligible for its purchase programme (CBPP3). This has diverted real money interest to higher yielding bonds and those that are not eligible for the programme. -
Caisse Française de Financement Local attracted strong demand for its 15 year covered bond on Monday, allowing the deal to be priced inside fair value. The strong outcome reflects the expected paucity of supply, giving issuers a compelling advantage, allowing them to “dictate deal terms”.
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Yields in the covered bond market are at their highest level this year and some could soon offer a positive return. With banks now starting to emerge from blackout there are high hopes supply will improve next week, not least because recent issuance offers more precise market clearing levels and that should improve execution certainty.
