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Deal reviews
◆ Issuer lands in 'the place to be' amid strong demand for covereds ◆ Achieves its largest covered book since at least 2023 ◆ After 7bp tightening the bond was spotted another 2bp tighter to erase new issue concession
◆ Several market currents support new long five years ◆ UniCredit GmbH achieves larger size close to fair value ◆ CRH pushes annual covered funding to €3.15bn
◆ Deal lands flat to recent UK and Canadian trades ◆ Dollar prices find stable footing for issuers and investors ◆ Pricing in line with other currencies
◆ Largest coverage ratio for almost three months ◆ Priced flat to fair value ◆ Slow pipeline predicted for rest of week
Opinion
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
The fears of the covered bond market reflect a lack of conviction in the superiority of the product
The preference for a diverse group of lead managers and the convention of reciprocity keep covered bond bookrunning competitive despite concentration so far this year
Rate increases could be closer than you think
Analysis
Central and Eastern Europe earmarked as an area of growth by market participants
FIG
With masses to fund and spreads super-tight, banks will race to market, but central banks are expected to tighten
FIG
Banks could rush to issue as fast as possible, taking advantage of remarkably tight spreads
European and other regulators are working on reforms to make covered bond funding more efficient
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More from covered bonds

  • The three major rating agencies have broadly positive outlooks on the covered bond market next year, but they have underlying concerns about rising unemployment, mortgage payment holidays, sovereign and issuer rating downgrades and Brexit.
  • Expected euro denominated covered bond supply from the Nordic region looks promising with Norway likely to prove a particularly bright spot. However, more cost-effective domestic funding in the Swedish market is expected to depress euro volumes there.
  • Germany will remain one of biggest covered bond issuance regions, accounting for up to a fifth of European supply next year. The residential real estate market and economy are expected to remain resilient and, along with robust investor protection built into Pfandbriefe, the market is well buttressed — even when it comes to riskier commercial real estate exposures.