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◆ Gulf private placements bite back ◆ Bond new issue premiums rise ◆ CLOs catch a break
Business has sagged in the third quarter, but the pipeline is busy, despite an intractable war
Private bonds are now being offered in the open market wider than where public deals trade
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The US was set to raise tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods, as GlobalCapital went to press, after talks between the two economic powers appeared to break down. Few people predicted it, most having prematurely stopped worrying about the US-China trade war and its impact on markets.
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Global equity markets suffered their worst days of the year this week after an apparent breakdown in trade talks between the US and China, causing investors to sell and volatility to spike and possibly wrecking equity issuance plans, write Sam Kerr and Ross Lancaster.
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It should not have been a good week for CEEMEA bonds. Fears of an escalating trade war between the US and China, a re-run of mayoral elections in Istanbul that many are calling the end of democracy in Turkey, South Africa national elections and the spectre of US sanctions on Russia would normally have killed the primary market. But issuers kept on printing and bonds rallied, writes Francesca Young, with next week's pipeline filling up.
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The Turkish lira this week tumbled to levels it had not seen since last October’s economic crisis after Turkey’s electoral commission (YSK) annulled the results of Istanbul’s municipal elections that had been won by the opposition. Investors said they are concerned that economic reforms will be put on hold and are worried that higher interest rates will prolong the country’s recession.
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Opinion polls indicate that South Africa’s incumbent African National Congress party and president, Cyril Ramaphosa, will win the country’s hotly contested general election, held on Wednesday, with a reduced majority. Bankers expect financing business to return to normal soon, after pausing in the run-up to the election.
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