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Emerging Markets

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◆ The threat of US corporate issuance to European borrowers ◆ The new funding environment for Middle East banks ◆ Reviving UK equity capital markets
Swiss investors retain appetite for credit as yields become more attractive
As war drags on, banks are boosting hoards of cash after deposit outflows

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  • It isn't often that equity investors are asked to buy assets subjected to physical attack. The drone strikes on Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq and Khurais oil facilities on Saturday could lead to Aramco demanding a big discount on any upcoming listing. The IPO market has suffered its fair share of geopolitical tumult of late, but this long and keenly anticipated deal could wind up being the riskiest of them all.
  • Ukraine’s wildcard new president Volodymyr Zelensky has been making all the market-friendly noises investors could wish to hear, turning the country into a darling of emerging market portfolio managers. But there’s a wasp at the picnic: one oligarch's quest to regain his former bank is threatening the country’s economic future.
  • CEE
    Russian petrochemicals firm Sibur was able to print $500m of five year paper in its return to the bond market this week, brushing off news of a drone attack on Saudi oil infrastructure and a subsequent 10% jump in the oil price.
  • CEE
    Fears are growing that Ukraine’s Privatbank, which was nationalised in 2016 at the behest of the IMF, may be reprivatised thanks to pressure from its former owner, oligarch Igor Kolomoisky. Such a move could jeopardise Ukraine’s chances of a new helping of IMF cash and the country’s bonds have sold off in response.
  • Four Middle Eastern borrowers are set to come to market next week, as issuers and investors alike shake off the volatility caused by the attack on Saudi oil facilities last weekend.
  • China’s move to remove the quota limits on the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) and renminbi QFII (RQFII) schemes could help in the long-term development of the country’s financial market. But this is not nearly enough. If the regulators want to see some serious change, they need to tackle two key hurdles facing foreign investors.