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Emerging Markets

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Business has sagged in the third quarter, but the pipeline is busy, despite an intractable war
Private bonds are now being offered in the open market wider than where public deals trade
Even as USTs stay near 5%, supply expected to pick up

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  • Argentina appeared to adopt a firmer posture on debt restructuring negotiations this week, as it postponed repaying a domestic bond held mostly by foreigners. Economy minister Martín Guzmán told the country's Congress that he would “not let foreign investors set the tone for macroeconomic policy”.
  • The final Latin American corporate deal before a hiatus for the earnings blackout period showed that borrowers were benefiting from volatility related to Covid-19, the official name of the coronavirus outbreak. However, a prolonged scare could bring negative consequences.
  • Polite society does not tolerate smokers the way it used to. What was once a ubiquitous habit is now banished to outdoors in many countries. Tobacco investment is a rarer beast too these days, reflecting how deeply ethical preferences can affect capital markets. Now oil and gas securities could be about to face a similar shift.
  • Rating: A3/—/A+
  • Rating: A3/A/A+
  • Argentina's plans to restructure $67bn of debt in under two months may look naive to some but the ambition the government has so far demonstrated point towards a good outcome.