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Analysts see covered bond issuance slowing to a more sedate pace from October through to the end of 2026
Volvo, Nykredit and Achmea Bank bring chunky euro FRNs, while Hong Kong dollar issuance continues apace
◆ Only sub-benchmark covered deal in the market on Tuesday ◆ Issuer paid a 'healthy new issue concession', says banker ◆ Pfandbriefzentrale planning new Swiss franc note

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Sub-sections
Deal reviews
◆ Only sub-benchmark covered deal in the market on Tuesday ◆ Issuer paid a 'healthy new issue concession', says banker ◆ Pfandbriefzentrale planning new Swiss franc note
◆ Tuesday's only benchmark covered deal ◆ ASN's second covered in six months ◆ Short-end of the curve is an 'investor sweet spot', says bank
◆ Leads picked three Achmea bonds as comps ◆ Dutch bank’s was one of two covereds on Monday ◆ Achmea’s was fourth Dutch covered this month
◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Analysts see covered bond issuance slowing to a more sedate pace from October through to the end of 2026
FIG
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
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More from covered bonds

  • The ratio of encumbered assets over total assets increased by its largest ever margin last year, according to a report this week from the European Banking Authority, which attributed the increase to lenders making “extensive use” of central bank facilities during the pandemic.
  • Sustainable covered bond issuance could hit a record high in 2021, and with the ECB considering introducing mandatory climate disclosures for its collateral and purchase programmes, analysts expect the sector to find growing market support over the next few years.
  • SSA
    Across the markets covered by the PMM, issuance volume has remained roughly consistent in each of the last four weeks, averaging just over $35bn, with last week's total reaching $41bn. However, last week the number of transactions plummeted from an average of 29 each week in the three weeks before to just 13.