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Analysts see covered bond issuance slowing to a more sedate pace from October through to the end of 2026
Volvo, Nykredit and Achmea Bank bring chunky euro FRNs, while Hong Kong dollar issuance continues apace
◆ Only sub-benchmark covered deal in the market on Tuesday ◆ Issuer paid a 'healthy new issue concession', says banker ◆ Pfandbriefzentrale planning new Swiss franc note

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Sub-sections
Deal reviews
◆ Only sub-benchmark covered deal in the market on Tuesday ◆ Issuer paid a 'healthy new issue concession', says banker ◆ Pfandbriefzentrale planning new Swiss franc note
◆ Tuesday's only benchmark covered deal ◆ ASN's second covered in six months ◆ Short-end of the curve is an 'investor sweet spot', says bank
◆ Leads picked three Achmea bonds as comps ◆ Dutch bank’s was one of two covereds on Monday ◆ Achmea’s was fourth Dutch covered this month
◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Analysts see covered bond issuance slowing to a more sedate pace from October through to the end of 2026
FIG
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
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More from covered bonds

  • Good news has been hard to come by in the covered bond market of late. Three years of declining volumes has left the market a shadow of its former self. But with €444bn of supply posted with the ECB, there is tremendous potential for substantial growth, especially since the senior unsecured funding is likely to become more expensive. But issuers will need to pay careful attention to encumbrance as regulatory scrutiny will only increase.
  • Italy’s UniCredit showed that the covered bond market is wide open for the right name and spread with a strong reception for its dual tranche fixed and floating rate covered bond on Wednesday. The deal will shore up sentiment for peripheral markets, but means little for core issuers whose bonds have recently softened, said bankers.
  • Deutsche Pfandbriefbank (Pbb) issued 2014’s second Pfandbrief deal on Tuesday but despite a highly supportive technical backdrop, a generous new issue premium and small deal size, it was unable to muster a convincing level of demand. The anaemic reception was due to the odd choice of an eight year tenor, said bankers, but it also raised concerns over supply indigestion.