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Tighter senior-covered bond spreads could see issuers prioritising unsecured over covereds
Equalising risk weightings of covered bonds and resilient STS securitizations at 5% is sound
Unsecured bonds could become more expensive to issue, covered bonds cheaper
Data
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Deal reviews
◆ Canadian bank taps Swissies for second time in 2025 ◆ Covered bond raises Sfr335m in line with order book ◆ Deal prices close to fair value
Akademiska Hus and Pfandbriefzentrale look for funding in Swiss francs
◆ Deal size matches bumper Scotia sale ◆ Sterling shows no signs of slowing, say bankers ◆ NAB previously tapped dollars and euros this year
◆ Bookrunners keen to test boundaries with pricing ◆ Strong order book attracts high proportion of real money investors ◆ Trade tightened by 6bp
Opinion
Equalising risk weightings of covered bonds and resilient STS securitizations at 5% is sound
Bank's head of DCM and syndicate chief talk bond market expansion plans
◆ Why buy bonds when spreads are so tight ◆ Using tech to unearth new economic signals ◆ Playing the shifting relative value pitch
Diversifying demand... coming inside euros... landing flat to dollars... the UK market looks tasty
Analysis
Unsecured bonds could become more expensive to issue, covered bonds cheaper
The euro covered bond market shook off a volatile end to 2024 to rebound with a raft of exceptionally popular deals in 2025. Investors appeared eager to pile into euro covered bond books this year, propelling bid-to-cover ratios upwards and new issue premium downwards, writes Frank Jackman
Covered bond funders will have to weave their way through tight senior unsecured and wide SSA spreads in 2026 if they are to refinance the wave of redemptions that awaits them. One big question for the year ahead, discovers Frank Jackman, is whether issuers will be tempted to pay up for duration
Implementation could push covered spreads closer to govvies and SSAs
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