Investors forced to fend with polls as political risk rules

By GlobalCapital
23 Feb 2017

The political polling industry is suffering a crisis of credibility after failing to predict Brexit and Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Surely a thorough overhaul of its methods is needed?

In a world where political risk is more potent than ever, investors have little else to go on, so polls still have the potential to trigger considerable market volatility.

A prime example this week was France, where polls showed far-right and anti-euro candidate Marine Le Pen increasing her lead ...

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