GlobalCapital reveals 2015 EM Deals of the Year
The GlobalCapital editorial team has picked what it believes to be the standout bond issues of 2015 across the emerging market, public sector, financial institution and corporate bond markets. Below are the EM Deals of the Year 2015. We selected the trades that we think will be remembered for their success in challenging conditions, for making the best use of the demand available to them, or for having made a longer lasting impact, such as the re-opening of a market. The winners are presented here.
For issuers, investors and bankers in the CEEMEA bond markets, 2015 was a tough year. War in Ukraine and the Middle East affected many of the region’s biggest borrowers, while falling oil prices made issuance difficult and the threat of a hiccup from US Federal Reserve rate rises hung over the market right up until the end of the year.
There were brief windows of opportunity, but to use those windows last year’s borrowers in the CEEMEA region — and their lead managers — needed to be nimbler, more decisive and smarter than usual to get successful deals away.
CEEMEA Deal of the Year and CEEMEA Sovereign Deal of the Year
$2.5bn 5.125% 2025 and $1.5bn 6.5% 2045
Citi, JP Morgan
In a volatile year when bankers advised issuers to come to market sooner rather than later, Kazakhstan managed to cover its entire refinancing needs for 2015 in one fell swoop. The sovereign launched the largest CEEMEA bond of the year in July — a $4bn haul that drew around $9.5bn of orders. The well timed deal hit a window of calm amid concerns over Greece and in advance of the summer break. Despite some debate over the new issue premium, even rival bankers agreed the issuer had done well to lock in $4bn of funding early, an argument bolstered by the awful market conditions for CEEMEA in September. Timing, size and foresight makes it a worthy winner.
CEEMEA Financial Institution Deal of the Year
National Bank of Abu Dhabi
$750m 5.25% perpetual
Citi, HSBC, Morgan Stanley, National Bank of Abu Dhabi, Société Générale
National Bank of Abu Dhabi’s perpetual bond set a record for the lowest coupon ever on a CEEMEA perp. The bank launched the deal in June, into a primary market where western European banks were struggling. Credit Suisse pulled a 10 year deal due to volatility on the day NBAD priced. A strong regional bid helped the NBAD deal, although international accounts took around two thirds of the bonds. NBAD has a strong record for pricing deals that perform in the secondary market, which has been an issue for Middle Eastern perpetuals. This was no exception, trading up in the secondary market after pricing at a level that rival bankers deemed fair.
CEEMEA Corporate Deal of the Year
$1bn 6.625% October 2022
Barclays, Citi, ING, Société Générale, UniCredit
Norilsk Nickel launched its standout deal in early October, beating Gazprom by just a few days to sell the first proper benchmark international bond from a Russian company since 2013. The trade was timed astutely to take advantage of a safe haven bid for Russian assets among CEEMEA investors, after much of the region suffered a violent selloff in late September. This flight to safety and the general pent-up CEEMEA demand were both reflected in the $4bn book Norilsk Nickel built for its $1bn note, which some envious rival bankers wished they could have been on.