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Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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Cyprus became the last of the bailed out eurozone sovereigns to return to the bond market on Wednesday, raising €100m through a medium term note. The trade is likely to fuel more demand for the issuer’s paper, according to MTN dealers.
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Italy’s 10 year borrowing costs fell to their lowest level since the introduction of the euro on Tuesday, outstripping a record set in the pre-eurozone sovereign debt crisis days of September 2005.
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Italy will drive down its medium to long term funding costs to euro-era lows at an auction on Tuesday, said analysts, despite the sovereign’s short term yields rising at an auction on Monday.
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Funding officials in Europe have watched their funding levels drop and drop over the past year. Yields in the periphery are even lower this week amid the prospect that the European Central Bank could introduce quantitative easing. But is that really good news for Europe’s SSA bond markets?
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The tantalising prospect of European Central Bank quantitative easing has the bond market back on happy pills.
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Ever heavier hints by European Central Bank officials that they could bring quantitative easing to the eurozone to tackle deflation may have helped a pair of eurozone periphery sovereigns to hold yield-busting bond auctions this week — including Portugal’s first in three years. But if the central bank rules out buying government bonds as part of a QE programme, it could risk damaging the remarkable rally in periphery debt since the start of the year, analysts warned this week.
