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'Everyone is ready for summer to be over' as SSA wave builds for Monday
Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
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Italy’s government bond auctions on Thursday reassured a jittery market — while no one would call the results stellar, they were not as bad as many had feared. -
With the monetary morphine of the LTRO wearing off, the eurozone’s two bellwethers of sovereign risk are again under scrutiny. While the fundamentals are worse in Spain, the “Monti effect” is fading at an inauspicious time for Italy.
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The Republic of Nigeria is set to meet investors in the US next week in New York, Boston, Los Angeles and San Francisco. Although the meetings are non-deal related, the size of the team the sovereign is planning to take to the US has led some market participants to suggest that a deal may be in the offing.
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Investors showed muted demand for a 10 year Bund auction on Wednesday morning, because of the extreme low yields on offer. Meanwhile peripheral yields showed signs of falling after tortuous widening the day before.
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Italian and Spanish bond yields rose 20bp-25bp across the curve on Tuesday, as investors began to focus on economic reform in each country. But they were not the only countries to suffer. France and the Netherlands were not spared either — their 10 year government yields had widened 6bp and 5bp since the open, respectively, by lunchtime.
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Spain may have endured a shocker of a week in the markets but SSA market watchers are upbeat about prospects for the market in the second quarter.
