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Last year markets priced in a systemic meltdown of emerging Europe. A crisis was sweeping the region, as high external debts, leveraged financial systems, low or moderate foreign exchange reserves and rapidly contracting economies set off panic.
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In economies with structurally high interest rates, institutional investors tend to prefer bonds – and when they bet correctly on the direction of rates, they can strike gold.
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In economies with structurally high interest rates, institutional investors tend to prefer bonds – and when they bet correctly on the direction of rates, they can strike gold.
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In November, boutique investment firm Exotix shattered the benign market consensus that the repayment of a bond issued by Nakheel, a debt-laden Dubai real estate developer, due in December 2009, would come through thanks to a bailout from Abu Dhabi.
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In November, boutique investment firm Exotix shattered the benign market consensus that the repayment of a bond issued by Nakheel, a debt-laden Dubai real estate developer, due in December 2009, would come through thanks to a bailout from Abu Dhabi.
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At the heart of the investment challenge this year is getting to grips with the new reality: emerging market growth is outperforming – and in this respect is decoupling from – the developed world, and yet global asset price correlations are stronger than ever. Enter Bank of America-Merrill Lynch’s monthly Global Fund Manager Survey – the most eagerly awaited sell-side report in the global equity community.