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For much of the past year, the trade-off between growth and inflation has been foremost in the minds of emerging market investors: how would policymakers balance a need to react to rising inflationary pressures with the domestic imperative to keep growth rates high? And what impact would such decisions have on equity, credit and currency markets?
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Concerns may be rising once again that embattled western European banks could withdraw liquidity from their central and eastern European subsidiaries if the eurozone debt crisis escalates further. But the commitment to extensive, quality research of the region by the research teams at these banks remains undiminished.
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Sell-side research on Latin America is particularly strong across the board. But then, three of the leading global emerging market research providers have heads of EM research who hail from the region – Alberto Ades at BofA-ML, Guillermo Mondino at BarCap and Pablo Goldberg at HSBC.
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It has been a turbulent year in the Middle East and North Africa, with the initial euphoria of the Arab Spring giving way to frustration and protracted struggles between protesters and entrenched regimes in Syria and Bahrain, and a bloody ground war in Libya.
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When Renaissance Capital first began its push into Africa in 2007, acquiring a Kenyan stockbroking licence and establishing a number of regional offices, it marked a surprise departure for a Moscow-headquartered bank that had previously focused almost exclusively on Russia and the former Soviet states.
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China’s currency and capital account restrictions have long hampered overseas investor attempts to buy into its spectacular growth story. So the birth of an offshore market providing corporates and institutional investors with exposure to renminbi-denominated assets has generated a great deal of excitement.