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Emerging Markets

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Business has sagged in the third quarter, but the pipeline is busy, despite an intractable war
Private bonds are now being offered in the open market wider than where public deals trade
Even as USTs stay near 5%, supply expected to pick up

Data

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  • Emerging markets, reeling from a dreadful fourth quarter, should return to form in January, in spite of the bad conditions prevailing in the broader market.
  • As central banks retreat from public markets, spreads are widening in dollars and euros, and cross-currency basis swaps are improving for international borrowers, Swiss bankers believe the good times might be returning to a market once known the world over for diversification and arbitrage.
  • Hungary’s latest Panda looks, at least on paper, like a club deal rather than a genuine syndicated bond, with bankers disagreeing on how the deal might have played out in the market.
  • The Malaysian government has filed criminal charges against Goldman Sachs for its alleged complicity in 1MDB and is seeking fines of over $3bn in a bid to recover assets from one of the world’s worst financial scandals.
  • Deloitte is predicting a major decline in Hong Kong IPO volumes next year, in large part because of uncertainty in the global economic outlook.
  • Cromwell European Real Estate Investment Trust (CEReit) has wrapped up a well-oversubscribed rights issue, raising €224.1m to fund the acquisition of various properties across Europe.