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Emerging Markets

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Business has sagged in the third quarter, but the pipeline is busy, despite an intractable war
Private bonds are now being offered in the open market wider than where public deals trade
Even as USTs stay near 5%, supply expected to pick up

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  • The US-Iran crisis has made for a slow start to CEEMEA bond issuance, though confidence is growing among issuers after Iran executed a revenge strike on Tuesday that some in the bond and loan markets have seen as a way out of escalating tensions any further. Blow out bonds from Mexico and Slovenia have also helped confidence and investors seem keen to buy after a decent end to 2019.
  • The State of Israel released initial price guidance on Wednesday for its dual tranche dollar 10 year and 30 year bonds as market participants hailed Tuesday’s Iranian strikes on Iraq airbases hosting US troops — and US President Donald Trump’s response — as a de-escalation of tensions between the two nations.
  • Two major insiders offloaded £375m of stock in NMC Health, the troubled UAE-based private healthcare company to cover debts on Tuesday. The share sale, which was priced at a 19.7% discount to close, came weeks after a short selling attack on NMC Health by US activist hedge fund Muddy Waters, which caused the company to lose more than half of its market value.
  • Equity investors were hopeful that the tension between the US and Iran will lessen after the latter responded to the former's assassination of its military commander Qasem Soleimani with a limited tactical strike against US bases in the Middle East.
  • Esaf Small Finance Bank has set the ball rolling for a Rp9.76bn ($135.6m) IPO, which will include fresh equity and a sale of existing stock.
  • Seven Chinese real estate issuers followed five of their peers to the offshore debt market on Tuesday, marking the busiest start to the year for the Asian bond market.