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Issuers struggle over what concessions investors will require
Issuance in March was never going to be hefty after a record start to the year
Government borrowing costs are rising on local and international markets, and credit ratings are falling
Sovereign also added $300m to a long-dated dollar note
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Bond bankers covering Latin America say that previously rare 20 year deals could become a popular maturity for the region’s sovereigns after Peru included a 2041 note in a $4bn triple-tranche dollar issue this week. The sovereign followed up the dollar deal with €825m in euros on Thursday, thus wrapping its external funding needs for the year, according to a finance ministry official. -
Modest order books and higher new issue concessions for dollar and euro issues this week showed that emerging markets borrowers are operating in a different market to a month ago, before inflation concerns had brought non-stop volatility to US Treasury markets.
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Fitch Ratings said on Wednesday that it would continue to provide international ratings and research on Mexican government-owned oil giant Pemex even after the issuer said it was dispensing with the agency’s services. Previously, Mexican president Andrés Manual López Obrador had publicly criticised Fitch’s negative rating actions on Pemex, which accounts for nearly 10% of investor holdings of EM corporate bonds.
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Beef exporter Minerva navigated another volatile day for Brazilian assets to raise $1bn of new 10-year non-call five notes on Wednesday, offering a slight pick-up to rival Marfrig that bankers saw as justified given Marfrig’s larger size and US operations.
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International bonds issued by El Salvador and Costa Rica are proving to be a sweet spot for EM investors, with the notes extending their rally this week as both countries look closer than ever to signing IMF programmes. But there are risks to the positive credit narratives driving the performance of both sovereigns, analysts warned.
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Argentina’s northernmost province, Jujuy, said on Monday evening that it had reached an agreement with more than half the holders of its $210m green bond regarding a restructuring proposal that would grant it significant short-term debt relief.
