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The outcome from a fiscal policy perspective is 'binary', said an emerging markets debt investor
One Brazilian company printed in a tricky period for the country's corporate borrowers
Rede D'Or rode over investor concerns about the health of Brazilian corporates, while Edenor landed its first benchmark bond
Books for the jumbo €5bn deal were more than three times subscribed
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Colombia has increased its external funding programme for the year to over $10bn after forecasting a larger 2021 fiscal deficit than it recorded in 2020, exacerbating concerns about the government’s ability to maintain its investment grade credit rating.
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Bond bankers covering Latin America say that previously rare 20 year deals could become a popular maturity for the region’s sovereigns after Peru included a 2041 note in a $4bn triple-tranche dollar issue this week. The sovereign followed up the dollar deal with €825m in euros on Thursday, thus wrapping its external funding needs for the year, according to a finance ministry official.
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Modest order books and higher new issue concessions for dollar and euro issues this week showed that emerging markets borrowers are operating in a different market to a month ago, before inflation concerns had brought non-stop volatility to US Treasury markets.
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Fitch Ratings said on Wednesday that it would continue to provide international ratings and research on Mexican government-owned oil giant Pemex even after the issuer said it was dispensing with the agency’s services. Previously, Mexican president Andrés Manual López Obrador had publicly criticised Fitch’s negative rating actions on Pemex, which accounts for nearly 10% of investor holdings of EM corporate bonds.
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Beef exporter Minerva navigated another volatile day for Brazilian assets to raise $1bn of new 10-year non-call five notes on Wednesday, offering a slight pick-up to rival Marfrig that bankers saw as justified given Marfrig’s larger size and US operations.
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International bonds issued by El Salvador and Costa Rica are proving to be a sweet spot for EM investors, with the notes extending their rally this week as both countries look closer than ever to signing IMF programmes. But there are risks to the positive credit narratives driving the performance of both sovereigns, analysts warned.