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◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
◆ Banker said bonds offered no new issue concession ◆ Shinhan’s was one of six covered bonds on Monday ◆ Deal was fifth Korean covered this year
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
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Deal reviews
◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
◆ Banker said bonds offered no new issue concession ◆ Shinhan’s was one of six covered bonds on Monday ◆ Deal was fifth Korean covered this year
◆ Rare five year tenor ◆ Competitive pricing versus dollars and euros ◆ Sixth sterling covered from Canada this year
Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
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The outlook for covered bond primary markets is likely to be less clear cut in January 2015 than it was a year earlier, as uncertainty over the timing of a sovereign quantitative easing (QE) programme, the trajectory of US rate rises and an ambiguous political backdrop are likely to complicate price discovery. But with a few more basis points on the table, tier one issuers shouldn’t have difficulty attracting investors.
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The International Monetary Fund’s recommendation that Danish banks reduce reliance on short-term funding and limit lending on variable rate, as well as interest-only mortgage loans, is credit positive for Denmark’s credit institutions, said Moody’s on Monday.
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The European Central Bank is legally obliged to carry out its role as a single supervisor and its responsibility to apply resolution measures will take precedence over its position as a covered bond investor, say analysts at Barclays research. As the central bank has the power to make decisions that could be detrimental to covered bond holders, covered bond supervision should be strengthened.