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◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
◆ Banker said bonds offered no new issue concession ◆ Shinhan’s was one of six covered bonds on Monday ◆ Deal was fifth Korean covered this year
Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
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Deal reviews
◆ Issuer chose larger order size ◆ Strong supply of five year covereds cited ◆ Seventh German covered in three weeks
◆ Banker said bonds offered no new issue concession ◆ Shinhan’s was one of six covered bonds on Monday ◆ Deal was fifth Korean covered this year
◆ Rare five year tenor ◆ Competitive pricing versus dollars and euros ◆ Sixth sterling covered from Canada this year
Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
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More from covered bonds
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The covered bond market was on hold on Monday, awaiting developments in Greece after the anti-austerity party, Syriza, won a near majority in Sunday’s elections. Though the result was in line with expectations, the market is sensitive to the risk of negative headlines. One or two deals could emerge this week, but there is unlikely to be much until next week, when many issuers emerge from blackout.
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A majority of covered bond investors polled by Fitch in December 2014 say the market’s greatest challenge is decreasing secondary market liquidity. The rating agency expects the most pronounced illiquidity from June 2016, which could feed through to the credit quality of covered bond programmes, as refinancing becomes more difficult.
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The larger than expected quantitative easing programme announced by the European Central Bank on Thursday has turbo-charged the well-established bull flattening trend in covered bonds and trading volumes have tripled from earlier in the week. With the long end of French market now offering a tempting spread to OATs, real money buyers are set to return. And with Bonos and BTPs rallying hard, relative value between covered bonds and sovereigns should soon be restored in the Cédulas and Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite markets.