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Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
◆ Spread tightened by 8bp from IPTs ◆ Banker said order book quality stayed high despite losing some investors ◆ Second Czech covered in two days
◆ Issuer happy with tight spread ◆ Short-dated tenor helped, according to a banker ◆ Treasurer said HCOM may issue one mortgage covered next year
Data
Sub-sections
Sub-sections
Deal reviews
◆ Rare five year tenor ◆ Competitive pricing versus dollars and euros ◆ Sixth sterling covered from Canada this year
Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
◆ Issuer tightened spread by 7bp on Tuesday ◆ First euro covered from ANZ NZ since 2023 ◆ Acting treasurer said €750m was the target
◆ Korean lender capped trade to focus on spread ◆ Shared market with four other deals ◆ Asian firms have been busy since market reopened
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
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More from covered bonds
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On Tuesday evening Fitch downgraded a swathe of European bank ratings, as it no longer gives any benefit to systemic state support. The downgrades were not expected to have much impact on covered bonds, but a few programmes may be hit. The most extreme case is likely to be Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (BMPS), whose July 2024s widened 50p. -
The Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive was supposed to be universally good for covered bonds because they are excluded from being bailed in. But on Wednesday and Thursday Moody’s and Fitch took opposing views on Allied Irish Banks due to the implementation of their methodologies that take account of the same new regime.
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The European Central Bank has expressed concern about extreme rates volatility. But until it stops buying and allows the private sector to become re-established, its true mission as liquidity provider of last resort will remain in conflict with its determination to expand its balance sheet.
