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Bankers predict steady flow of covered bonds issuance over coming weeks despite recent spike in activity
◆ Spread tightened by 8bp from IPTs ◆ Banker said order book quality stayed high despite losing some investors ◆ Second Czech covered in two days
◆ Issuer happy with tight spread ◆ Short-dated tenor helped, according to a banker ◆ Treasurer said HCOM may issue one mortgage covered next year
Data
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Sub-sections
Deal reviews
◆ Rare five year tenor ◆ Competitive pricing versus dollars and euros ◆ Sixth sterling covered from Canada this year
Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
◆ Issuer tightened spread by 7bp on Tuesday ◆ First euro covered from ANZ NZ since 2023 ◆ Acting treasurer said €750m was the target
◆ Korean lender capped trade to focus on spread ◆ Shared market with four other deals ◆ Asian firms have been busy since market reopened
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
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More from covered bonds
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Bankers hoped that a covered bond would emerge this week after Lower Saxony got a strong response for its deal on Tuesday. But with no hint of a euro benchmark on Wednesday, issuance hopes have been postponed until the week of August 24. The only flow is in the secondary market, and in the absence of sellers, euro system buying is causing spreads to move one way.
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Covered bond supply picked up sharply in July as issuers made up for lost time during May and June. Year-to-date supply may have been stronger than at any time in the past three years but with many destabilising events on the horizon the outlook is precarious.
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The amended Polish covered bond law is likely to lead to higher ratings, said Fitch on Monday. Polish covered bonds could achieve a maximum of rating uplift of 10 notches compared to two or three at the moment.