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Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
◆ Issuer tightened spread by 7bp on Tuesday ◆ First euro covered from ANZ NZ since 2023 ◆ Acting treasurer said €750m was the target
◆ BMO's floater came after Crédit Agricole’s last week ◆ Banker said floaters are becoming more popular ◆ Canadian bank's sixth covered this year
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Issuance may relent next week but the pipeline for the rest of the year is uncertain, say experts
◆ Issuer tightened spread by 7bp on Tuesday ◆ First euro covered from ANZ NZ since 2023 ◆ Acting treasurer said €750m was the target
◆ Korean lender capped trade to focus on spread ◆ Shared market with four other deals ◆ Asian firms have been busy since market reopened
◆ Issuer tightened spread by 5bp ◆ One of five euro benchmark covereds issued on same day ◆ BayernLB landed tighter covered in June
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
Covered market provides 'the deepest pocket of demand' among FIG asset classes
Asset class is about 5bp wider than at start of the year
Comments from regulators welcomed by ECBC head
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
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When the covered bond purchase programme (CBPP3) began in October 2014, valuations had become severely overstretched, and not long after the purchasing began, the market came under considerable pressure. Valuations are once again looking overstretched across the board but more so in the corporate sector where eurosystem buying has also only just begun.
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From a regulatory standpoint the spread level of UK covered bonds suggests a UK exit from the European Union has been priced in. However, given uncertainty over how the process of leaving the Union would be finally completed, it is likely UK bonds will remain unloved. -
When the covered bond purchase programme (CBPP3) began in October 2014, valuations had become severely overstretched, and not long after the purchasing began, the market came under considerable pressure. Valuations are once again looking overstretched across the board but more so in the corporate sector where eurosystem buying has also only just begun.
