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Margins widen as lenders weigh up AI disruption to portfolio companies
◆ What strikes on energy infrastructure in the Middle East mean for emerging market bonds ◆ Why issuing in dollars has become so dicey for supranationals and agencies ◆ Europe’s advantage in the private credit meltdown
A slow destruction of misallocated investment is more likely than a sudden stop
Investors confident software fears are overblown
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  • The ECB stimulus has likely contributed to a flow of borrowers and buyers entering the Schuldschein market, as downward pressure on spreads has forced lenders to look further for yield. But with talk of ECB tapering, some fear that the international investors who drove up volumes will return to more traditional stomping grounds. But these investors will be more faithful than it might seem.
  • Oil and gas company MOL became the first Hungarian issuer to raise funds in the Schuldschein market, in a sign that more lenders, given the right credit, are prepared to be tempted eastwards.
  • Italian cement and concrete group Buzzi Unicem launched a debut €250m triple tranche Schuldschein, with half of the intended volume directed at its German subsidiary, Dyckerhoff.
  • In just three days this week, Carillion, the UK construction and support services group, lost 70% of its value, prompting fears of a debt-to-equity swap. This anguish comes only five months after Carillion raised €112m in the Schuldschein market, which is unused to defaults, write Silas Brown and Jon Hay.
  • Carillion’s share price fell roughly 40% after bleak profit warnings on Monday, and another 33% on Tuesday. The UK outsourcing and construction company's tumble comes only five months after it successfully issued a €112m — confirming for some that the market has become too open to unsuitable borrowers.
  • The busiest first half to a year in the Schuldschein market’s history is over. Nearly 70 issuers — originating from Russia to the US — have managed to launch transactions so far. But, some traditional German lenders are begging for a return to the market’s more usual sedate pace, to allow more time for vital credit work. Silas Brown reports.