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◆ New bond priced before state election, far-right AfD leads polls ◆ JLM orders help carry deal across finishing line ◆ 'Fair' pick-up over Bunds but KfW spread ‘relatively tight’
◆ 'More defensive' five year tenor works well ◆ Record non-German demand, central banks show hands ◆ Länder-KfW spread 'at a good place'
Month-end buying from investors in secondary market to determine backdrop for next wave of issuance
◆ First 10 year Länder bond post-summer ◆ Pricing was fair versus KfW ◆ More diversified book than before
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Markets should not underestimate the risk that fringe parties could cause an upset in next year's German general election -
◆ Tapped line put in less than a month ago ◆ Small new issue concession ◆ 'Decent bid' for Länder paper currently
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◆ Bond almost three times subscribed ◆ Issuer did not pay a concession ◆ Deal priced through Länder peers
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◆ Print signals a 'strong start going into 2025' ◆ Fair value hard to pinpoint ◆ Länder peer mandates deal
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◆ Deal confirms 'fair price for Bundesländer' ◆ 6bp pick up over KfW ◆ Things are looking up for January
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Two trades could come this week, but little supply expected following Thursday's US holiday
