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◆ New bond priced before state election, far-right AfD leads polls ◆ JLM orders help carry deal across finishing line ◆ 'Fair' pick-up over Bunds but KfW spread ‘relatively tight’
◆ 'More defensive' five year tenor works well ◆ Record non-German demand, central banks show hands ◆ Länder-KfW spread 'at a good place'
Month-end buying from investors in secondary market to determine backdrop for next wave of issuance
◆ First 10 year Länder bond post-summer ◆ Pricing was fair versus KfW ◆ More diversified book than before
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◆ Backlog of German issuers looking to print ◆ State set to print while reforms put to vote ◆ Lower Saxony covers deal well -
Pragmatism to the fore for issuers trying to price benchmarks in turbulent markets
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Issuer expects second deal of same maturity in the autumn, while funding needs may change
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◆ Deal highlights Länder spread journey ◆ No price tightening ◆ Priced off KfW with minimal NIP
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◆ German state braves extreme spread volatility ◆ Deal was priced after government signalled higher Bund and Länder supply ◆ ‘Flip side for investors’ is much higher yield
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EGBs sell off as Germany tries to fund both infrastructure and defence through debt brake reform
