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◆ New bond priced before state election, far-right AfD leads polls ◆ JLM orders help carry deal across finishing line ◆ 'Fair' pick-up over Bunds but KfW spread ‘relatively tight’
◆ 'More defensive' five year tenor works well ◆ Record non-German demand, central banks show hands ◆ Länder-KfW spread 'at a good place'
Month-end buying from investors in secondary market to determine backdrop for next wave of issuance
◆ First 10 year Länder bond post-summer ◆ Pricing was fair versus KfW ◆ More diversified book than before
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◆ Not covered but not uncommon ◆ Prices around 2bp through fixed rate curve ◆ More German state supply expected
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◆ Bond tightens 5bp from guidance ◆ Highest subscribed deal so far this week ◆ Relative value highlights issuer as 'strongest' Belgian region
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◆ Spanish region lands tight versus govvie ◆ Well sought-after deal despite squeezy spread ◆ Strong technical continues to support Spanish (and French) SSAs
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◆ Joint Länder trade raises €1bn ◆ JLMs help cover deal ◆ EGB sell-off deepens
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Average spread to swaps up compared to early 2024 while spreads to govvies trend downwards
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◆ Curve repriced significantly since January ◆ Bond prices tight after spread moves 2bp ◆ Lower Saxony borrows with nine year