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New issue premiums in recent weeks were lower compared to the highs after the Iran-US conflict began
◆ Only 4bp paid over theoretical new KfW ◆ Länder bonds continued to be seen as expensive ◆ Will bank treasuries switch to EIB from Länder?
Mandates from Eurofima, Germany, Wallonia and the Free State of Thuringia
◆ Pricing was tricky after Hamburg’s recent five year ◆ Is 7bp the new magic number for Länder? ◆ Five year demand lacking, Thuringia to test 10 year
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US fiscal woes across keep investors on edge as sensitivity to public debt grows -
◆ €250m deal went better than expected ◆ Spread to KfW key to pricing ◆ Land NRW sustainability next
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◆ Large demand leads to large print ◆ Early momentum in quality book ◆ 'Everything flying' but spread to swaps also attracts
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Risk of complacency flagged as issuers continue to fund into summer
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Investor relations efforts and euro demand help issuer price at ‘ambitious but not unrealistic’ level
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◆ First euro deal since January 2024 ◆ Timing and tightening 'just right' ◆ Peer issuance provides confidence
