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Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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Bumper books and tight pricing defined the euro market for public sector issuers this week, as borrowers, boosted by warm investor sentiment towards Europe and its periphery, priced a string of blow-outs.
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Kangaroo deal flow is set to remain high through January as issuers look to take advantage of a strong appetite for Australian dollars from central banks and domestic investors.
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A calmer run of trading in peripheral eurozone sovereign debt — after a rampant rally at the start of the year — has created perfect conditions for Italy and Spain to syndicate their first deals of the year next week, according to bankers. Spain is rumoured to be considering a 10 year, while market chatter suggests Italy could opt for an inflation-linked bond.
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A lack of international high grade issuance in the belly of the curve during recent weeks has created opportunities for foreign issuers to tap the Swiss franc market. Oesterreichische Kontrollbank was able to almost double its size ambitions in a trade on Monday, despite pricing coming at what bankers away from the deal called an ambitious level.
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Efforts by the UK Treasury to shore up investor confidence in Gilts ahead of a referendum on Scottish independence could create more uncertainty in the long term, according to analysts.
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Caisse d'Amortissement de la Dette Sociale could return to the sterling market for the first time since 2012 this year, joining a series of other issuers that have been able to take advantage of attractive conditions since the new year.