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Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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Are investors on crazy pills? Some might say it’s the only rational explanation behind Italy’s yields hitting lows last seen before the sovereign debt crisis. But there is method to the madness.
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Canada could become a more frequent presence in the private placement market in 2014 as the country’s Ministry of Finance plans a review of its medium term note programme as early as April, SSA Markets can reveal.
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Italian bond yields hit lows last seen before the eurozone sovereign debt crisis began as a fresh political face in the form of Florence’s former mayor, Matteo Renzi put a sheen on peripheral sovereign bonds. But Renzi’s incoming government, which was still being formed as EuroWeek went to press, may face challenges almost immediately. The first weeks of the new government could be crucial for the sovereign’s borrowing as the Treasury has yet to syndicate its first bond of 2014, which could come as soon as March. -
Sovereign issuers should take heart from the scale of demand for Canada’s tightly priced return to the dollar market, say DCM bankers. The country sold a tightly priced dollar benchmark on Thursday, and the success of the trade could help push forward issuance from other sovereigns.
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Have peripheral bond investors really taken leave of their senses? It would be tempting to conclude that. But there are reasons for piling into Italian bonds like there is no tomorrow. For one thing prime-minister-to-be Matteo Renzi is a little more likely to carry out reforms than his predecessor, Enrico Letta.
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The peripheral eurozone recovery ride gained more momentum on Thursday, as Spain’s 10 year yields tumbled at auction to levels last seen in the middle of the last decade. A day earlier, the Community of Madrid printed its second super long dated private placement in a week while Portugal sold short term paper at its lowest yields since late 2009.
