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Sovereigns

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SSA
Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
SSA
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
SSA
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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  • It could all have been avoided so easily. Before the Scottish independence referendum became a reality, opinion polls showed Scots were heavily in favour of more powers for their parliament, including raising cash through tax or debt.
  • As Scotland prepares to vote on September 18 opinion polls show the referendum is too close to call. One way this could impact the public sector markets is if other regions that have campaigned so far unsucessfully for independence from their sovereigns, such as Spain’s Catalonia, take courage from Scotland's attempt to try for themselves.
  • The Republic of Ghana returned to the international bond markets on Thursday, pricing a $1bn 2026 amortising bond to yield 8.25%, despite worries about the country's fiscal position and a weakening currency.
  • Hong Kong put its distinctive stamp on the burgeoning international sukuk market this week, as the first non-Islamic Asian sovereign to tap the asset class. That novelty proved no obstacle, though, with the $1bn five year deal meeting an enthusiastic response and adding momentum to the city’s aspiration of becoming a regional Islamic financing hub, write Isabella Zhong and Rev Hui.
  • The Republic of Ghana has released guidance for its new dollar 2026 offering as it continues talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
  • SSA
    Sweden demonstrated the depth of demand at the short end of the dollar curve on Thursday, when it was swamped with orders on a two year despite coming at a double digit spread through swaps. Meanwhile, a pair of issuers hit the long end of the curve with 10 year mandates.