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Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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Spain wiped nearly 13bp from its three year borrowing costs at auction on Thursday, while investors lent Ireland three month cash for free. But periphery yields may have even further to fall, after take-up at the European Central Bank’s first targeted longer term refinancing operation (TLTRO) fell below analysts’ expectations, suggesting the central bank might have to dip into its dovish box of tricks once again.
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With just 96 shopping days left until Christmas and a sleepy market, the topic of some MTN desks’ conversation had already turned towards organising festive drinks earlier this week.
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The Republic of South Africa printed a debut sukuk this week, which represented a tightly priced first foray into a new investor base for the issuer and a benchmark for the country’s corporates to follow, said bankers on the deal. But their counterparts away from the transaction questioned the claims of tight pricing and pointed to what they saw as a sour performance in the secondary market.
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South Africa printed the continent’s first international sukuk deal on Wednesday, offering a valuable benchmark for South African corporates, state-owned enterprises and other African sovereigns. South African SOEs like Eskom are among the borrowers considering sukuk as a new funding tool, but SOEs need the South African authorities to amend its tax policy in order to pave the way for follow on sukuk.
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Spain wiped nearly 13bp from its three year borrowing costs at auction on Thursday, while investors lent Ireland three month cash for free. But periphery yields may have even further to fall, after take-up at the European Central Bank’s first targeted longer term refinancing operation fell below analysts’ expectations — suggesting the central bank might have to dip into its dovish box of tricks once again.
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South Africa is set to price a $500m debut sukuk to yield 3.9% on Wednesday afternoon — a landmark deal in a continent enjoying an influx of Islamic money. But as with other inaugural sukuk offerings there was no hint of consensus over the sukuk’s concession to the conventional curve.
