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Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
Summer in full swing but first two weeks of August not completely off the cards for non-euro deals
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A particularly poor third quarter has seen CEEMEA bond issuance dwindle to a third of the amount in the same period last year. With Russia and Ukraine all but shut out of the capital markets, bankers have also been faced with choppy markets and poorly performing new issues.
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A pair of top quality issuers were the only borrowers in the sovereign, supranational and agency sector to get benchmarks away this week, as conditions that have been sizzlingly since the summer break showed signs of cooling.
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Eurozone periphery yields rose late on Thursday after European Central Bank president Mario Draghi failed to excite market participants with hints of more dovish measures such as sovereign quantitative easing. But with rates still near historic lows, few funding officials will be worried — least of all in Ireland, which revealed plans for a possible syndication in the final quarter of the year.
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The Grand Duchy of Luxembourg paid a clear premium over its conventional curve to sell a €200m inaugural sukuk this week. But this concession was down to the small size and not the sukuk structure, said debt bankers involved. A much bigger problem with the debut deal was Islamic investors’ lack of familiarity with just how measly euro rates have become.
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A particularly poor third quarter has seen CEEMEA volumes down almost threefold from the same period last year. With Russia and Ukraine all but shut out of the capital markets, bankers have also been faced with choppy markets and poor performing new issues.