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◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
A rally thanks to cheaper oil has let the Gilt market defer its reckoning with political risk. But it is coming, for sure
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◆ German court ruling may hit Bund issuance in 2024 ◆ KfW and Länder funding may also be affected ◆ Banks and borrowers shrink loan syndicates -
Germany faces funding shortfall for 2024 but problem extends beyond Bunds to agencies and Länder
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Linker coming in March but exact maturity unknown
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The sovereign also expects to add a new point to its green bond curve
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Both the EU and its peer SSA issuers learned a little better how to work next to each other in tough conditions in 2023 but next year will bring bigger tests
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Issuers relied on dollar market to cross funding finish line in 2023
