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◆ Oil slides, easing inflation fears ◆ Vote split and September QT signals to set tone for Gilts ◆ Oil-driven hike pricing unwinds days before the Bank decides
◆ Oil trumps politics ◆ Kuwait scores late winner ◆ How to save Thames Water harmlessly
New prime minister and surprise chancellor jolted the Gilt market, but oil shooting above $100 shows where the real power lies
John Healey resigned because the money was not there for defence. It may not be there for anything
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As if Trump and Brexit were not enough for one year, the latest bout of volatility originating from the political sphere could be triggered this Sunday as Italy heads to the polls to vote on proposed constitutional changes and Austria selects a new president — for which Norbert Hofer, a member of the far-right Freedom party, is in the running. -
Rising inflation expectations, as governments switch their focus to fiscal stimulus and central banks move away from extremely loose monetary policy, are boosting demand for inflation linked bonds. Opec’s agreement this week to cut oil production pushed demand even higher. But there are question marks over whether issuers will adapt their funding menus to satisfy the new appetite, writes Craig McGlashan.
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The Republic of Indonesia popped into the market Thursday morning, kicking off December with a new triple tranche dollar deal, the second year in a row it has hit the bond market in the last month of the year.
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Rumours of increased European Central Bank support have failed to take pressure off Italian sovereign credit default swaps, despite a rally on Tuesday, with the country resuming its widening divergence from European peers on Wednesday ahead of this weekend’s referendum.
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The European Central Bank will extend its quantitative easing programme “most likely until the end of next year”, according to S&P, a greater extension than the additional six months that many market participants are anticipating.
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The Italian referendum on December 4 has been lurking in SSA bankers' diaries as a dangerous risk event but, on Tuesday, rumours of enhanced European Central Bank support led to a rally in Italian government paper.
